India bans wheat exports as heat wave hurts crop, domestic prices soar & More Trending News

A mix deposits harvested wheat in a tractor trolley at a discipline on the outskirts of Ahmedabad, India, March 16, 2022. REUTERS/Amit Dave

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  • Ban might push international wheat prices to new peaks
  • India was aiming to export 10 mln T wheat earlier than ban
  • Heat wave dents dimension of wheat crop, lifts prices
  • Govt shopping for falls greater than 50% from 12 months in the past

MUMBAI, May 14 (Reuters) – India banned wheat exports on Saturday, simply days after saying it was focusing on file shipments this 12 months, as a scorching heat wave curtailed output and domestic prices soared to an all-time excessive.

The authorities stated it might nonetheless permit exports backed by already issued letters of credit score and to nations that request provides “to meet their food security needs”.

Global patrons had been banking on provides from the world’s second-biggest wheat producer after exports from the Black Sea area plunged following Russia’s Feb. 24 invasion of Ukraine. Before the ban, India had aimed to ship a file 10 million tonnes this 12 months. learn extra

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Although it’s not one of many world’s high wheat exporters, India’s ban might drive international prices to new peaks given already tight provide, hitting poor customers in Asia and Africa notably exhausting.

“The ban is shocking,” a Mumbai-based seller with a worldwide buying and selling agency stated. “We were expecting curbs on exports after two to three months, but it seems like the inflation numbers changed the government’s mind.”

Rising meals and power prices pushed India’s annual retail inflation close to an eight-year excessive in April, strengthening expectations that the central financial institution would increase rates of interest extra aggressively. learn extra

Wheat prices in India have risen to file highs, in some spot markets hitting 25,000 rupees ($320) per tonne, properly above the federal government’s minimal assist value of 20,150 rupees.

Rising gas, labour, transportation and packaging prices are additionally boosting the worth of wheat flour in India.

“It was not wheat alone. The rise in overall prices raised concerns about inflation and that’s why the government had to ban wheat exports,” stated a senior authorities official who requested to not be named as discussions about export curbs had been non-public.

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“For us, it’s abundance of caution,” he stated.

SMALLER CROP

India simply this week outlined its file export goal for the fiscal 12 months that began on April 1, saying it might ship commerce delegations to nations such as Morocco, Tunisia, Indonesia and the Philippines to discover methods to spice up shipments.

In February the federal government forecast manufacturing of 111.32 million tonnes, the sixth straight file crop, nevertheless it minimize the forecast to 105 million tonnes in May. learn extra

A spike in temperatures in mid-March means the crop might as an alternative be round 100 million tonnes and even decrease, stated a New Delhi-based seller with a worldwide buying and selling agency.

“The government’s procurement has fallen more than 50%. Spot markets are getting far lower supplies than last year. All these things are indicating lower crop,” the seller stated.

Cashing in on a rally in international wheat prices after Russia invaded Ukraine, India exported a file 7 million tonnes of wheat within the fiscal 12 months to March, up greater than 250% from the earlier 12 months.

“The rise in wheat price was rather moderate, and Indian prices are still substantially lower than global prices,” stated Rajesh Paharia Jain, a New Delhi-based dealer.

“In fact, wheat prices in some parts of the country had jumped to the current level even last year, so the move to ban export is nothing but a knee-jerk reaction.”

Despite a drop in manufacturing and authorities purchases by the state-run Food Corporation of India (FCI), India might have shipped not less than 10 million tonnes of wheat this fiscal 12 months, Jain stated.

The FCI has thus far purchased slightly over 19 million tonnes of wheat from domestic farmers, in opposition to final 12 months’s whole purchases of a file 43.34 million tonnes. The FCI buys grain from native farmers to run a meals welfare programme for the poor.

Unlike earlier years, farmers have most well-liked to promote wheat to non-public merchants, who supplied higher prices than the federal government’s mounted price.

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In April, India exported a file 1.4 million tonnes of wheat and offers had been already signed to export round 1.5 million tonnes in May. learn extra

“The Indian ban will lift global wheat prices. Right now there is no big supplier in the market,” one other seller stated.

($1 = 77.4700 Indian rupees)

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Reporting by Rajendra Jadhav in Mumbai and Mayank Bhardwaj in New Delhi; Editing by William Mallard & Simon Cameron-Moore

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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