Taiwan's COVID curve 'really similar' to Singapore: CECC

TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — The Central Epidemic Command Center (CECC) head on Thursday (June 2) mentioned that Taiwan’s COVID epidemic curve is “really similar” to that of Singapore and that when the nationwide prognosis price reaches 10%, the native outbreak will start to subside.


During a press convention that afternoon, CECC head Chen Shih-chung (陳時中) mentioned that the present scenario in New Taipei City, Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Keelung City, and Hualien County are reporting a prognosis price of 10%. Chen then mentioned that the “situation will be very clear within 10 days.”


On Wednesday (June 1), Chen mentioned that so long as the an infection price reaches 10 to 12%, the epidemic is anticipated to start to decline. However, on Thursday, a reporter identified that in Japan and South Korea, it was not till the an infection price reached 20 to 30% that their outbreaks started to ebb and requested why Taiwan’s epidemic would decline comparatively sooner.


He mentioned that on the peak of the outbreak in South Korea the prognosis price reached 16%, whereas Hong Kong reached 8.7%, Singapore 11%, and Japan was very low, “probably less than 2%.” The CECC head mentioned that the epidemic curve in Japan could be very clean and the development in Taiwan “looks like we are very similar to Singapore.”


Chen defined that the prognosis price refers to individuals who have been formally confirmed with COVID, whereas the an infection price consists of those that haven’t been examined or are asymptomatic. He mentioned that some specialists refer to the an infection price because the “black” (hidden) depend with the ratio of confirmed instances to hidden instances at 1:2 or 1:3.

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He mentioned that when the prognosis price reaches 10% of the an infection price, the precise variety of folks contaminated might actually be 20 to 30%.


He urged that at this degree, instances might begin to return down, however that is solely what the middle has noticed and estimated and can be utilized as a reference for the epidemic’s development. Chen then asserted that “10% is stable, and at 11 to 12% (infections) start to go down.”


Chen identified that Singapore’s epidemic curve is the form of a “hill” and the timeline can be related to Taiwan’s. Chen noticed that the epidemic curve in Taiwan has reached a “plateau” with instances in northern Taiwan trending downward whereas infections within the south are trending “slightly upward.”

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