Potential Showers Too Late for Central Brazil's Safrinha Corn & More News Here

A entrance has been sitting to the south of central Brazil since final week, teasing the area by bringing showers into Sao Paulo and Mato Grosso do Sul at occasions. That entrance will proceed to supply showers throughout southern Brazil and Paraguay via June 7 earlier than it makes a push northward, seemingly ready for the vast majority of the crop to achieve maturity earlier than bringing within the rains. That is a disgrace as a result of some rains do look to come back to Mato Grosso, and components of Goias and Minas Gerais as properly on June 8-10. Showers can be spotty in Goias and Minas Gerais, however might be extra widespread in Mato Grosso, particularly throughout the southwest.

For the portion of the crop that’s farther behind developmentally, there might be some stabilization of circumstances. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) mannequin is producing 10-30 millimeters (roughly 0.4 to 1.2 inches) of rainfall within the western half of Mato Grosso. The American Global Forecast System (GFS) mannequin has much more rain, with quantities exceeding 50 millimeters (about 2 inches) throughout southern Mato Grosso and parts of southern Goias and Minas Gerais as properly. If thunderstorms happen, and that may be a probably situation within the tropics, then these increased quantities could also be achieved in spots. But with the crop virtually mature, it probably won’t make a distinction for a lot of the crop this season.

Next week’s World Supply and Demand Estimates report from the USDA and Grain Harvest Survey from Conab can be watched to see if the 2 businesses make any important modifications to their manufacturing estimates for Brazil’s corn. I’m going to imagine each businesses can be hard-pressed to do something however decrease their estimates from May.

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DTN Lead Analyst Todd Hultman will share his ideas on the USDA’s manufacturing estimates for the U.S. and overseas in a webinar shortly after the USDA releases its report on June 10. You can enroll for that webinar right here: https://www.dtn.com/…

To discover extra worldwide climate circumstances and your native forecast from DTN, head over to https://www.dtnpf.com/…

John Baranick could be reached at [email protected]

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