Is Brazil ready for the next incarnation of President Lula?

For weeks Hilton Acioli wrestled with the melodies and lyrics that may grow to be the theme tune to 1 of the most exceptional political careers in latest historical past.

Finally, one morning in the winter of 1989, one thing clicked. “Lula lá – a star is sparkling. Lula lá – the flourishing of hope,” the Cat Stevens-loving Brazilian songsmith sang as he sat earlier than his pc with a guitar.

The topic of Acioli’s ditty was Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, a shoeshine boy turned union chief who was getting ready to launch a once-unimaginable bid to grow to be Brazil’s first working-class president.

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“I felt so excited,” Acioli mentioned of the second he composed the unforgettable jingle for Lula’s first presidential run. “I called everyone on the campaign and told them: ‘I think I’ve nailed it.’” Lula’s debut marketing campaign resulted in failure however Acioli’s music, Sem Medo de Ser Feliz [Unafraid of Being Happy], turned an everlasting hit, offering the soundtrack as the bearded leftist continued his quest for energy over the coming years.

Lula misplaced two extra elections, in 1994 and 1998, earlier than lastly triumphing in 2002 – a watershed second for Latin America’s largest democracy that ushered in virtually a decade of historic social inclusion and poverty discount.

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Many thought Lula’s extraordinary poverty-to-power story was over when he stepped down in 2010 with sky-high approval scores and having been declared “the most popular politician on Earth” by Barack Obama. When Lula was jailed for alleged corruption and barred from the 2018 election his political future regarded in shreds.

But allies say the chaos unleashed by the man who received that 12 months’s election, the far-right radical Jair Bolsonaro, and Lula’s sudden political rehabilitation final 12 months, persuaded the veteran leftist to postpone retirement and return to the fray.

“There’s just no way he would flee from this mission,” mentioned Fátima Bezerra, a number one determine in Lula’s Worker’s celebration (PT) who has identified him since its basis in the Eighties.

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“He understands perfectly the danger we are facing,” Bezerra mentioned of the incessant authoritarian outbursts from Brazil’s dictatorship-admiring president. “What’s at risk right now is democracy itself.”

Fátima Bezerra, a leading figure in Lula’s Worker’s party.
Fátima Bezerra, a number one determine in Lula’s Worker’s celebration. Photograph: Francisco Proner/Agence VU/The Observer

On 7 May Lula, now 76, will formally announce his sixth bid for the presidency, at an occasion in São Paulo. Acioli’s anthem is once more on the playlist as a brand new technology of leftwingers look to deliver the curtains down on Bolsonaro’s ultra-conservative period.

“They’re going to have to swallow the fact that Lula will be our country’s next president,” mentioned Nanda Matinny, a 24-year-old actor, after dancing to a remixed model of Acioli’s jingle at a pro-Lula rally close to Rio.

Matinny, who was 5 when Lula first took energy in 2003, mentioned the music made her really feel nostalgia for a previous she was too younger to have identified. “I want to live through what I didn’t live through before. I need to,” she mentioned. “We need this man to be elected to reconstruct Brazil.”

Tens of tens of millions of Brazilians appear to agree, with polls giving Lula a considerable benefit over Bolsonaro, a former paratrooper who many blame for catastrophically botching Brazil’s response to a Covid outbreak that has killed greater than 660,000 folks, in addition to undermining democracy and devastating the atmosphere.

Felipe Nunes, the head of the pollster Quaest, mentioned Lula’s lead didn’t imply he was seen as an “untainted character” or that voters had forgotten the main corruption scandals that marred his administration and that of his successor, Dilma Rousseff. But, not like the incumbent, Lula was thought-about a reliable political professional who may deliver stability. “People are looking for someone who can sort out the economy. People are looking for the hope of having a decent quality of life once again,” mentioned Nunes.

Many progressive Brazilians fear about the lack of generational renewal at the prime of Lula’s celebration, whose key figures are largely now of their 60s or 70s. Lula will likely be 81 at the finish of his time period if elected. But the former president stays by far Brazil’s best-known leftwing politician and – with no speedy inheritor in sight – the one finest positioned to defeat Bolsonaro.

Jair Bolsonaro is welcomed by supporters during the inauguration of a new train station in Parnamirim, Rio Grande do Norte.
Jair Bolsonaro is welcomed by supporters throughout the inauguration of a brand new prepare station in Parnamirim, Rio Grande do Norte. Photograph: Francisco Proner/Agence VU/The Observer

During an interview at his house in Natal, the seaside capital of the northeastern state of Rio Grande do Norte, Acioli expressed optimism Lula would be capable of finish 4 years of Bolsonarian distress in October’s election. “Everything suggests he’s going to win,” the 82-year-old composer enthused.

Bezerra, Rio Grande do Norte’s governor, mentioned she was “immensely hopeful” her pal would lead Brazil out of “authoritarian and obscurantist nightmare”. “I’ve seen him and he’s full of energy and raring to go,” mentioned Bezerra, 66, flanked by a crimson Lula banner stamped with the phrases: “Brazil Happy Again”.

Yet latest weeks have prompt Lula’s mission could also be harder than some progressives had hoped. With public anger over Brazil’s Covid catastrophe apparently fading as normality returns, some polls have proven Bolsonaro gaining floor.

Around the nook from Natália Bonavides’s headquarters in Natal, a graffiti artist has painted a pun on the president’s identify: “Acabou-sonaro” (Bolson-over). But Bonavides, the PT’s youngest member of congress, urged the president’s opponents to not underestimate him. “Even after all the tragedies that have been caused over the last three years, Bolsonaro remains an extremely strong candidate,” the 33-year-old insisted.

Bonavides, who’s one of the main lights of Brazil’s new left, mentioned half of the hazard was Bolsonaro’s skill to make use of the state machine and federal funds to purchase political help and win over voters. She additionally frightened about the dissemination of faux information, whether or not Bolsonaro would settle for the election consequence, and the toxic political environment that has gripped Brazil beneath its pro-gun president. In latest weeks the Donald Trump-admiring populist has billed the 2022 election as an epic warfare between God-fearing “good” and communist “evil” main some to worry violence.

Bonavides feels the poisonous temper greater than most. Last 12 months a rightwing tv pundit who’s near Bolsonaro publicly declared that folks like her wanted eliminating with machine weapons and urged her to stay to washing her husband’s pants.

An image of Marielle Franco, the leftist Rio politician who was assassinated in 2018, hangs outdoors Bonavides’s workplace – a reminder of the risks of doing politics in Twenty first-century Brazil. But the younger congresswoman vowed to persist. “I can’t say I’m not afraid … but it’s crucial we don’t allow these things to paralyse us.”

Natalia Bonavides, PT’s youngest member of congress, in her office in Natal.
Natalia Bonavides, PT’s youngest member of congress, in her workplace in Natal. Photograph: Francisco Proner/Agence VU/The Observer

Bonavides believed one of the keys to beating Bolsonaro was partaking with the city poor who had been worst hit by the financial fallout from Covid. On a latest night she drove north to an deserted railway depot that had been occupied by dozens of impoverished households Bonavides mentioned had been plunged additional into destitution by Bolsonaro’s social insurance policies, rising unemployment and inflation.

“Every day new families are arriving. It’s frightening,” mentioned one of the occupation’s leaders, Matheus Araújo, as households used mud-caked sheets of plastic and planks of rotting wooden to construct shacks in the dank warehouse round him.

Outside, Bonavides pledged to assist the squatters combat eviction and urged them to make the hyperlink between their plight and the insurance policies of Brazil’s present chief. “The Bolsonaros of this world have never done anything to grant people their rights – and they never will. Because rights aren’t granted – they are seized,” she shouted by way of a loudhailer, as an activist clutched a crimson flag emblazoned with the phrases: “Fora Bolsonaro!” (Bolsonaro Out!).

For all his pleasure over Lula’s comeback, the composer Acioli additionally sounded a notice of warning, evaluating the coming months to a political minefield. “Many pitfalls lie ahead,” the musician warned. “Even now, there are so many lies that people still believe.”

Despite the scale of Brazil’s coronavirus calamity and the corruption scandals which have blighted Bolsonaro’s administration and family, the president has retained the unwavering help of about 25% of voters. Hardcore followers stay satisfied their chief is spearheading a righteous conservative campaign to cease Brazil turning into a communist dictatorship beneath Lula.

Thomas Traumann, a political commentator and former communications minister beneath the PT, mentioned it was wishful pondering to think about Bolsonaro stood no probability. “Lula is the favourite. It’s 70-30. But that doesn’t mean 70 always wins,” Traumann warned, urging Lula’s marketing campaign to not underestimate the depth of anti-PT feeling and the affiliation many nonetheless made between the celebration and financial disaster and corruption.

Helio Oliveira, an air drive reservist and pro-Bolsonaro activist in Natal, mentioned he would think about leaving Brazil or transferring to a distant half of the countryside if Lula received: “He’s a bad character who lacks values.”

Hilton Acioli, composer of the song Sem Medo de Ser Feliz
Hilton Acioli, composer of the music Sem Medo de Ser Feliz. Photograph: Francisco Proner/Agence VU/The Observer

As he contemplated the coming showdown, Acioli sat down on his veranda and started to carry out the music he had written to launch Lula’s first marketing campaign greater than three a long time in the past. “Unafraid to be happy! Unafraid to be happy! Unafraid to be happy!” he sang as he strummed his guitar.

“It’s unfortunate to talk about a saviour of the nation but that’s kind of what it is. There is no one else,” Acioli mentioned.

Bonavides was a child when Acioli wrote his most well-known ballad however, like tens of millions of Brazilians, is aware of its lyrics by coronary heart. She mentioned it reminded her of how shut Lula got here to succeeding in his first presidential bid, and the way near reclaiming energy he’s now.

“It’s song that brings me great hope,” she mentioned, a portrait of her celebration’s chief hanging on the wall behind her.

“Bolsonaro represents the cesspool of politics and Lula represents hope,” Bonavides mentioned. “Lula – as [Salvador] Allende would say – represents the great avenues down which free women and men will pass.”

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