Five graphs that show how Australian voters turned on the Coalition

Labor will govern in majority with 77 seats after 21 electorates flipped throughout the election. The crossbench has doubled to 16, with seven new independents. This consists of six self-identified teals.

There was a 5% swing towards the Coalition nationally, however the swing in lots of seats was far bigger. Almost half of the seats that flipped have been beforehand thought-about protected or pretty protected. Five of these have been received by independents.

The main events additionally obtained their lowest recorded first desire vote, persevering with a downward pattern that stretches again many years.

Using knowledge from the Australian Electoral Commission and our seat explorer, Guardian Australia has crunched the numbers to assist clarify the election end result. The seat outcomes are primarily based on predictions and, as of writing, none of those seats have been formally declared by the AEC.

House of representatives outcomes

The Coalition misplaced 18 seats, 10 went to Labor and 6 to independents. The Greens picked up three seats in Queensland, two from the Coalition and one from Labor.

The United Australia celebration misplaced its solely seat after the Coalition retook Hughes. Craig Kelly had received Hughes as a Coalition candidate in earlier elections however defected throughout the final parliament.

Labor misplaced two seats – Griffith to the Greens and Fowler to an impartial.

Change in parliamentary numbers by celebration/affiliation

Even although seat boundaries can change, many had been held repeatedly by one celebration – Fowler by Labor, and Goldstein and Pearce by the Coalition.

Kooyong and Boothby had been held by the Coalition since the Forties. Plenty of equally long-held seats additionally got here near being misplaced – with Bradfield in Sydney’s north seeing an nearly 15% swing towards the Coalition on first preferences.

In the desk beneath you’ll be able to see how lengthy the seats that flipped had been held, in addition to the earlier margin.

Seats that flipped

Speaking of margins, Mackellar, Fowler and Curtin have been all received by independents, regardless of incumbents having margins higher than 13%.

In truth, 9 of the 21 flipped seats have been beforehand thought-about protected or pretty protected seats – the place the incumbent received greater than 56% or 60% of the vote respectively at the earlier election.

Flipped seats by seat standing

Finally, the overwhelming majority of the seats the Coalition misplaced have been in inside metropolitan areas. This consists of long-held seats like Goldstein and Kooyong in Melbourne.

This matches the 7.5% swing towards the Coalition on first preferences votes in inside metropolitan areas.

Lost Coalition seats by area classification

Five graphs that show how Australian voters turned on the Coalition | Australian election 2022 & More Latest News Update

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