Facebook post way off target over Germany's emissions & More News Here

Germany has set formidable targets for decreasing fossil gas emissions, however power shortages and rising energy costs have led some to query the success of the nation’s efforts.

A Facebook post (screenshot right here) on June 20 claims Germany spent $US580 billion on renewables over the previous decade however achieved “zero emissions reductions”.

The declare is fake. The $US580 billion determine is a projection for a longer-term transition away from fossil fuels and doesn’t precisely mirror the nation’s spending on renewables. Data exhibits German greenhouse gasoline emissions dropped about 17 per cent over the previous decade.

The Facebook post used a screenshot of a February 2019 tweet by American writer and environmental commentator Michael Shellenberger, founder and president of Environmental Progress, a pro-nuclear group.

His 2019 tweet states: “Germany spent $580 billion on renewables over the last decade and got: zero emissions reductions; 50% increase in cost of electricity; electricity supply 2x more carbon-intensive as France’s; electricity nearly 2x expensive as France’s.”

Mr Shellenberger eliminated the tweet after being contacted by AAP FactExamine earlier within the 12 months.

However, screenshots of the tweet have been broadly shared on Facebook, as seen right here, right here, right here, right here, right here, right here, right here and right here. The declare was mistaken when Mr Shellenberger initially printed the tweet and stays false.

Data from the German atmosphere company exhibits that from 2009 to 2018, the last decade previous to Mr Shellenberger’s tweet, German greenhouse gasoline emissions fell from 903 million tonnes to 851 million tonnes, a drop of 5.8 per cent (sheet ‘THG’, row six).

Using June 2022 as the top level for the last decade in query, the identical information exhibits emissions fell from 917 million tonnes in 2012 to 762 million tonnes in 2021, a fall of 17 per cent.

Jorn Gierds, a scientific advisor on the German National Academy of Science and Engineering (acatech), confirmed Germany’s emissions decreased within the decade previous to Mr Shellenberger’s tweet.

“Germany’s emissions (measured in CO2 equivalents) decreased between 2009 and 2019 from about 902.7 m tonnes to 799.7 m tonnes,” Mr Gierds instructed AAP FactExamine in an e-mail.

“In 2020, we saw an even sharper decline of emissions in Germany. This led to Germany achieving its climate targets set for 2020 (reduction of emissions by 40 per cent compared to 1990). However, the emission-reducing effects of COVID-19 need to be taken into account for this particular year.”

Katharina Hartz, a mission officer at suppose tank Agora Energiewende, instructed AAP FactExamine the declare is mistaken and Germany’s development in the direction of decreasing emissions has been clear over a few years.

“Germany reduced its greenhouse gas emissions between 1990 and 2021 by around 40 per cent,” she stated in an e-mail.

“In the last decade (between 2010 and 2021), it reduced emissions by about 20 per cent.”

Mr Shellenberger’s declare Germany has spent $US580 billion on renewables over the final decade can also be incorrect.

In his tweet, Mr Shellenberger hyperlinks to a 2018 Bloomberg News article about Germany’s local weather targets, which reported that Germany was spending 500 billion euros or $US580 billion to “overhaul its energy system”.

The Bloomberg article doesn’t present a supply for the determine.

However, different articles (corresponding to right here, right here and right here) hyperlink to a 2016 German research that stated the entire price of Germany’s power transition within the electrical energy sector “will amount to over 520 billion euros by 2025”.

Ms Hartz stated if Mr Shellenberger’s declare was based mostly on the Bloomberg article, “it is wrong in the sense that overhauling the energy system is not equal to subsidies for renewables”.

Miriam Borgmann from acatech instructed AAP FactExamine the Bloomberg article was “talking about the costs for the whole energy transition, not only renewables”.

Germany’s transition away from fossil gas would additionally embrace prices for refurbishing homes to make them extra energy-efficient and charging stations for electrical automobiles, Ms Borgmann stated in an e-mail.

According to the atmosphere company’s ‘Renewable energies in Germany – Data on improvement in 2021‘ report, 149 billion euros was invested renewable power vegetation between 2012 and 2021 (web page 22, desk 5).

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