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Brasília (AFP) – Tragedies just like the floods and landslides that killed more than 100 folks in northeastern Brazil will doubtless hold occurring as local weather change advances until authorities act to guard poor communities in high-risk areas, an expert stated.
Torrential rains over the weekend wrought havoc on town of Recife and surrounding areas, the newest in a collection of deadly storms to hit Brazil in current months.
Jose Marengo, analysis coordinator on the National Monitoring and Alert Center for Natural Disasters (CEMADEN), informed AFP local weather change will proceed fueling ever heavier rains — and that “if cities aren’t prepared, we’ll be mourning more and more deaths.”
Is newest catastrophe associated to local weather change?
“Climate change is a long-term process that is advancing slowly. No one isolated, extreme event can be attributed to it. Rain and disaster are different things.
“In Recife, very intense rains fell on areas close to rivers and hills. Any intense rain in locations like that may trigger related tragedies in these circumstances, with rivers sweeping away homes and avalanches of mud taking out every thing of their path.
“Climate change could be responsible for the rise in extreme, violent rain that is being detected not only in Brazil but around the world. But it can’t be blamed for the fact that governments allow people to build in high-risk areas, or that the poor have nowhere to go and have to live in vulnerable areas. Those are urban planning problems.”
What do Brazil’s current storms have in frequent?
“In Bahia state (northeast), where 33 people were killed in December, there is a phenomenon called the South Atlantic Convergence Zone that produces rain in the (southern hemisphere) summer. It’s always present in southeastern Brazil, but in December it reached Bahia and caused deadly floods.
“In Petropolis (southeast, the place 233 folks had been killed in February), there was an intense meteorological phenomenon, uncommon however not unattainable, more just like what occurred now in Recife. In each instances, the rain had been appropriately forecast, however the issue was susceptible populations residing in high-risk areas.
“If you look at videos of landslides and flash floods from both Petropolis and Recife, it’s impossible to tell which is which, because they were very similar disasters.”
How can Brazil, different governments put together higher?
“Rain is only part of the problem. In Brazil, we’re good at forecasting rain. The problem is the weak link in the chain: the vulnerability of the population.
“It’s a typical mistake to say, ‘The rain killed X variety of folks.’ Rain would not kill folks, besides when it combines with the issue of individuals residing in high-risk areas.
“Governments need to prevent people from building on areas such as hillsides and evacuate people from existing houses to safer areas — every year, not just when there are disasters.
“And cities must be better-organized, as a result of we are able to see wanting on the local weather that phenomena like these rains are getting more intense and violent.
“If people and cities aren’t prepared, we’ll be mourning more and more deaths. The rainy season is just starting in the northeast, and we may see a lot more such phenomena this year.”
© 2022 AFP
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