ANALYSIS: New Zealand Rugby have reappointed Ian Foster, the All Blacks coach with the worst wins ratio of the professional era, but who has just guided the team to a big win over the world champion Springboks.
Foster’s win percentage against tier one nations is 57% (12 wins from 21 tests, including eight losses and one draw). Five of those wins were against Australia and three against Argentina.
Overall, Foster has a 65% win percentage, with 17 victories, one draw and eight losses in 26 tests since taking over from his former boss Steve Hansen after the 2019 Rugby World Cup.
That is the lowest by an All Blacks coach in over 40 years since Eric Watson’s 40% after losing five and drawing one of 10 tests in 1979 and 1980.
We look at the key moments of Foster’s tenure:
December 2019: Ian Foster is appointed All Blacks head coach after eight years as Steve Hansen’s assistant, including the winning 2015 All Blacks World Cup campaign.
2020
October 11: The Covid pandemic meant Foster launched straight into a Bledisloe Cup campaign without any patsy tests against second-tier sides. In that first test in charge, the All Blacks drew 16-16 against a weak Wallabies side in Wellington.
October 18: Foster records his first win as All Blacks coach in a 27-7 victory over Dave Rennie’s Wallabies before 46,000 expectant fans at Eden Park.
October 31: The first trophy tucked away as the Bledisloe Cup is retained after an impressive 43-5 romp over the Wallabies in Sydney, with maestro first five-eighth Richie Mo’unga scoring two of the six tries and bagging 23 points.
November 7: The first cracks appear as the All Blacks lose 24-22 to the Wallabies, a week after putting 45 points on them. Both sides lose players to red cards after high tackles.
November 14: Foster becomes the first All Blacks coach to lose to Argentina in a 25-15 defeat to an inspired Pumas side in Sydney. The All Blacks scored two tries to one, but Nicolas Sanchez scored all 25 points as Foster’s side looked ominously exposed and rudderless. A 38-0 win over the Pumas in Newcastle a week later only partly assuaged the rising panic among All Blacks fans.
2021
July 10: Fiji – with current All Blacks assistant Jason Ryan as their forwards coach – gave Foster’s pack a touch-up in physicality and intensity before Dane Coles got them out of jail with four second-half tries in a 57-23 win. But the Fijians’ spirited effort must have shown northern hemisphere coaches this All Blacks side had flaws under pressure.
August 24: NZ Rugby re-appoints Foster as All Blacks coach through to the end of the Rugby World Cup. Foster claims it will promote “confidence and stability’’ within the group. While the board’s early-season call delighted predecessor Hansen, who’d been pushing his mate’s case, it stunned some dispassionate observers because the All Blacks were yet to play world champions South Africa, Ireland and France.
September 5: The board’s decision looked a masterstroke as the Bledisloe was banked after a 38-21 win in Perth. The slick backline scored six tries as the All Blacks ended the three-match trans-Tasman series with 128 points. Other sceptics were wary, claiming that “it was only the Wallabies’’ that Foster’s team were towelling.
October 2: Foster secures the Rugby Championship after easy 39-0 and 36-13 wins over Argentina and splitting a tight two-match series with the Springboks. The All Blacks won the first – the 100th test between the two arch foes – 19-17 in Townsville, but lost the next 31-29 in Brisbane. Again, there were question marks whether the All Blacks could stand the heat against tough forward packs, especially at the breakdown.
November 13: Dublin’s Lansdowne Road loomed as the All Blacks’ first litmus test after breezing through the first portion of their northern tour against the United States (104-14), Wales (54-16) and Italy (47-9). Alarm bells began clanging in Kiwiland as the All Blacks had no answer to the intensity, defensive ferocity and complete and utter possession dominance of Andy Farrell’s Ireland side who surged to a deserved 29-20, three tries to two victory.
November 20: The All Blacks get blown off the park for the second time in as many weeks in a 40-25 loss to Six Nations champions-elect France in Paris. They shaded the possession stakes but were left flailing by France’s flair, power and set-piece pressure, leaving rugby writer Marc Hinton to note: “World rugby has a new global order, and right now the All Blacks are on the outside looking in.”
All Blacks apologists offered the excuse that the tired team had been on the road away from home for 12 weeks, but the cracks in their game plan and execution ability had clearly become fissures.
2022
June 27: Having survived the post-tour review, Foster and fellow coaches John Plumtree and Scott McLeod are struck down by Covid-19 in the week leading up to a daunting first test assignment against Ireland. Former Ireland coach Joe Schmidt is brought into training as an adviser and the senior players step up. Foster is back in the box for the 42-19 win at Eden Park, but most of the credit is given, rightly or wrongly, to the men who did the mahi in his absence.
July 9: Foster’s All Blacks are done like a dinner in Dunners, losing 23-12 at Forsyth Barr Stadium to an Ireland side that out-thought and out-passioned the home side for their first win on New Zealand whenua.
July 16: Ireland win a series in New Zealand for the first time with a 32-22 victory at Wellington’s Cake Tin. Foster refuses at the post-match press conference to answer questions over his coaching future as the Irish celebrate their fifth win in eight tests against New Zealand since 2016.
July 17: Foster claims he has “no idea’’ why his traditional Sunday media briefing was abruptly cancelled by a communications manager. NZR chief executive Mark Robinson doesn’t endorse his coach in an ambiguous press statement, but says the All Blacks performances against Ireland were “unacceptable’’. Robinson calls for an immediate review.
July 25: Foster survives the review, but forwards coach John Plumtree and attack coach Brad Mooar are sacked. Crusaders assistant Jason Ryan comes in as forwards coach for the Rugby Championship with Foster taking charge of the attack, and Schmidt on board as a selector and adviser.
August 4: Speculation grows that Foster has been told the All Blacks must get a win in South Africa to save his job.
August 6: The All Blacks emerge from their laager to get smashed at the breakdown by the Springboks in a 26-10 defeat at Mbombela. Howls of derision greet Foster’s post-match claim that it was their best performance of the season after their fifth loss in their last six games.
August 13: In the truly best performance of the Foster tenure the All Blacks rout the Boks 35-23 at their Ellis Park fortress, dominating them up front and launching through their backs with Rieko Ioane outstanding at centre.
August 14: Robinson still refuses to endorse Foster as All Blacks coach at a bizarre press briefing in Johannesburg, saying NZ Rugby will “take stock’’ after another debrief on the All Blacks’ return home this week. Senior players, including Ardie Savea, Sam Cane and Aaron Smith, say Foster is “my coach’’ and they expect him to continue, but his critics ponder why it took so long to install Mo’unga as playmaker and revitalise the pack.
August 17: D-day for Foster at the NZR board meeting where nine directors will determine his fate.
2.30pm: NZR chairman Stewart Mitchell confirms the board has endorsed Foster as All Blacks coach through to the 2023 World Cup.
Key moments in All Blacks coach Ian Foster’s rollercoaster tenure at the helm & Latest News Update
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