Participants
This study was a part of the ongoing Biobank Innovations for chronic Cerebrovascular disease With ALZheimer’s disease Study (BICWALZS) and the Centre for Convergence Research of Neurological Disorders. The BICWALZS was planned and initiated in October 2016 by the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency for the Korea Biobank Project, which is a national innovative biobanking program to foster biomedical and healthcare research and development infrastructure. Memory clinics of five university hospitals and a community geriatric mental health centre were involved in this study. Participants were recruited voluntarily from those who visited these neurology or psychiatry memory out-patient clinics. The original goal was to facilitate, regulate, and ensure optimal use of human biological specimens for research from real-world data in the fields of SCD, MCI, AD and subcortical vascular dementia (SVaD).
The clinical diagnosis criteria used for this study were as follows: SCD criteria included self-and/or informant reports of cognitive decline, but no objective impairment in cognitive tasks [no less than −1.5 SD in each of neurocognitive test domain and Clinical Dementia Rating (CDR) = 0] [13]; patients with MCI were evaluated based on a CDR [14] score of 0.5 and the expanded Mayo Clinic criteria [15]; patients with AD dementia were evaluated using the National Institute on Aging-Alzheimer’s Association core clinical probable AD dementia criteria [16]; and SVaD was evaluated based on above-moderate white matter hyperintensity (WMH) and vascular dementia criteria in accordance with the Diagnostic Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, fifth edition [17]. Patients with a history of neurological or medical conditions, such as territorial cerebral infarction, intracranial haemorrhage, Parkinson’s disease, heart failure, renal failure, or others that could interfere with the study were excluded.
The BICWALZS is registered with the Korean National Clinical Trial Registry (Clinical Research Information Service; identifier, KCT0003391). The study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Ajou University Hospital (AJIRB-BMR-SUR-16-362). Written informed consent was obtained from all participants and caregivers. Participants from the BICWALZS were recruited at the memory clinics of seven university-affiliated hospitals and community geriatric centres in South Korea. All participants were Korean (Eastern Asian ethnicity). None of the participants in this study was a part of the initial training sample of our previously trained model [3]. We identified 687 participants (age range = 49–89 year; 80 SCD, 389 MCI and 218 dementia) with 3D T1-weighted brain MRI from 2016 to 2020 and estimated each individual’s brain age. Among these individuals, we used data from 650 participants (age range = 49–89 years; 71 SCD, 375 MCI and 204 dementia) with available amyloid PET information for clinical validation. Three hundred and thirty-six participants were followed up for cognitive decline by annual assessment of clinical diagnosis and Clinical Dementia Rating Sum of Box (CDR-SB) [14]. Among them, 284 subjects had less than the score of CDR 0.5 and 240 subjects were diagnosed with SCD or MCI at baseline, indicating cognitively none or only mild impairment [18]. Duration of follow-up was 19.69 ± 8.66, 19.38 ± 8.44 and 19.44 ± 8.47 months, respectively.
Clinical and biological assessment
Clinical and biological assessments are described in the supplement. Briefly, we collected data on neurocognitive battery including standardised tests for language, visuospatial abilities, memory, and frontal/executive function [19]. The participants underwent 18F-flutemetamol PET scanning. To quantify 18F-flutemetamol retention, the standard uptake value ratio (SUVR) was obtained using the pons as a reference region. Informed consent was obtained from all participants regarding the collection and genotyping of blood genomic DNA and APOE genotyping was obtained. MRI T1 coronal images were used for the visual assessment and both left and right medial temporal lobe atrophy (MTA) were visually rated separately.
Brain age estimation
Methods for MRI acquisition and structural processing are described in the supplement. Sequence parameters were reported in Supplementary Table 1. We have previously validated a brain age estimation algorithm that predicts chronological age with grey matter volume [3] using the Pattern Recognition for Neuroimaging Toolbox [20]. Whole brain, voxel-wise grey matter volume maps were mean-centered and used to calculate a similarity matrix kernel [21] that was input into a Gaussian processes regression to predict chronological age. The training set, which included 757 adult MRIs of individuals without any psychiatric or neurologic disorder as well as Alzheimer’s pathology as measured by PET, has been previously described [3]. These data were from the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative, Information eXtraction from Images, and Open Access Series of Imaging Studies (OASIS-3) which are all publicly available. The cohort source was used as a covariate to account for differences in scanner, site and protocol. Site effect was not added as a feature when brain age was calculated as these data were not used as part of training, thus would not affect the model itself. Site effect was added as covariate to subsequent statistical models when modelling the association between brain age and clinical variables. The participants of this present study were not part of the training set. Using this pretrained model, we estimated the brain age of each participant in the present study (estimated brain age of the 687 participants is detailed in Supplementary Table 2. We used the data of 650 participants with amyloid PET information for clinical validation). While WMH might likely be a factor that influenced brain ageing, our brain age model utilises primarily grey matter and not white matter data. Thus, our brain age marker could more accurately be described as ‘grey matter’ age [11]. We additionally adjusted for the intercept and slope (i.e., subtract the intercept and divide by the slope) of the original brain age model, as this has been found to bias the brain age predictions.
Statistical analysis
We conducted analyses using IBM SPSS 25 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA) and R software (version 4.1.1; R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria). Scatter and violin plots were plotted using the R package ggplot2. Survival curves were plotted using the R package Survminer.
We checked the violation of the assumption of homoscedasticity by investigating skewness and kurtosis. We used the brain age residual as an index of age-related brain health. Brain age residual is the residual error after regressing out age, age squared, and sex onto brain age [brain age = intercept + β1(age centred, individual chronological age-mean of chronological age) + β2(age centred2) + β3(sex)+brain age residual]. Thus, high brain age residual represents greater brain age than expected at that chronological age adjusting for sex. This residual was calculated for every 650 participants. To examine whether the brain age residual was associated with clinical factors, analysis of covariance, linear and multinomial logistic regression analyses were conducted with the following dependent variables: CDR-SB, neurocognitive tests scores, and diagnosis of dementia while adjusting for age centred, age centred squared, sex, education, intracranial volume, study site, amyloid PET positivity and APOE e4 allele status. Using linear regression, we then investigated the association between brain age (dependent variable) and the following independent variables: age, age squared, sex, education, APOE e4, amyloid PET positive, WMH severity and lacunae.
To validate the value of the brain age residual in identifying participants with and without a diagnosis of dementia, the receiver operating curve characteristic (ROC) curve and sensitivity and specificity levels were evaluated in comparison with the traditional measures such as Mini Mental Status Examination (MMSE), amyloid PET SUVR adjusting for age centred, age centred squared, sex, education, intracranial volume, study site and APOE e4 allele status. The cut-off score was determined based on maximal sensitivity and specificity.
We then conducted survival analysis, using a Cox proportional hazards regression and Kaplan–Meier estimator in individuals who had available follow-up cognitive data (N = 366) to examine the capacity of brain age as a predictive marker of the progression of cognitive decline. We also conducted similar analyses in subgroups, primarily among participants who were normal or only mildly impaired at baseline (subgroup I: less than 0.5 point of CDR at baseline assessment, N = 284; subgroup II: diagnosed with SCD or MCI at baseline assessment, N = 240), and at this stage, it was important to note whether they progressed to the level of dementia [22]. This analysis tested whether the brain age residual at baseline predicted time-to-progression of cognitive decline. These analyses included several covariates including age centred, age-centred squared, sex, education, intracranial volume, study site, baseline CDR-SB, APOE e4 allele and amyloid PET positive. In these analyses, we defined two prime events: 1) the last follow-up when the CDR-SB score went beyond the known confidence intervals (CI) of the annual rate of change [annual rate of change (slope, 95% CI) in CDR-SB was known as 1.88(1.77–2.05) in those who progressed to CDR 1 from baseline CDR 0 or 0.5] [23] for total and subgroup I samples and 2) incident of clinical diagnosis with dementia for subgroup II sample. We also calculated absolute standardised hazard ratios [24] to compare brain age residual with MTA [25] and MMSE [26] as predictors for future cognitive decline. In addition, we used likelihood tests to compare nested Cox models. The z-transformation was applied to normalise the continuous variables such as MMSE and brain age residual in these analyses.
Independent replication of advanced brain age in mild cognitive impairment and dementia: detection of future cognitive dysfunction & Latest News Update
Independent replication of advanced brain age in mild cognitive impairment and dementia: detection of future cognitive dysfunction & More Live News
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